Singapore's peak temperature on August 14 is priced at 33°C with full market consensus due to the National Environment Agency's recent outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and emerging El Niño influences that favor drier, warmer air masses. Official forecasts highlight fair weather with localized afternoon thundery showers unlikely to cap highs below this threshold, consistent with historical August averages near 31–32°C but elevated by positive Indian Ocean Dipole signals. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven consensus while acknowledging that an earlier or more widespread rain event could still limit the official maximum recorded at Changi to 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月14日的最高温度?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$75,648 交易量
$75,648 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$75,648 交易量
$75,648 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Singapore's peak temperature on August 14 is priced at 33°C with full market consensus due to the National Environment Agency's recent outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and emerging El Niño influences that favor drier, warmer air masses. Official forecasts highlight fair weather with localized afternoon thundery showers unlikely to cap highs below this threshold, consistent with historical August averages near 31–32°C but elevated by positive Indian Ocean Dipole signals. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven consensus while acknowledging that an earlier or more widespread rain event could still limit the official maximum recorded at Changi to 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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