Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly converged to 32°C (100%) for Singapore's highest temperature at Changi Airport station on May 11, 2026, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid persistent afternoon showers over eastern and central areas. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and above-average rainfall—expected in the May 1-15 fortnightly outlook—have capped warming via cloud cover and precipitation, overriding earlier 24-hour forecasts of 34°C max. Historical May averages at Changi hover around 31-32°C, reinforcing this positioning. Minimal risk remains of exceeding via abrupt clearing and urban heat island effects before sunset, though NEA rain radar confirms ongoing showers; final records post by month's 10th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 11?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,160 交易量
$96,160 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,160 交易量
$96,160 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 9, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly converged to 32°C (100%) for Singapore's highest temperature at Changi Airport station on May 11, 2026, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid persistent afternoon showers over eastern and central areas. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and above-average rainfall—expected in the May 1-15 fortnightly outlook—have capped warming via cloud cover and precipitation, overriding earlier 24-hour forecasts of 34°C max. Historical May averages at Changi hover around 31-32°C, reinforcing this positioning. Minimal risk remains of exceeding via abrupt clearing and urban heat island effects before sunset, though NEA rain radar confirms ongoing showers; final records post by month's 10th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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