Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models project a daily maximum of 31°C in Taipei on May 17, supported by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and pre-Meiyu seasonal patterns that favor clear-sky solar heating. Official observational data and ensemble model runs show consistent alignment around this threshold, with limited afternoon convection expected to prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in convective activity or subtle wind shifts could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or briefly push it to 32°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日台北气温最高?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,727 交易量
$111,727 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,727 交易量
$111,727 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models project a daily maximum of 31°C in Taipei on May 17, supported by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and pre-Meiyu seasonal patterns that favor clear-sky solar heating. Official observational data and ensemble model runs show consistent alignment around this threshold, with limited afternoon convection expected to prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in convective activity or subtle wind shifts could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or briefly push it to 32°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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