Latest Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 25 center on a maximum of 32–33 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit advection of cooler marine air. These conditions align with the long-term August average of 31–32 °C and typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology, with negligible precipitation risk and stable steering patterns favoring modest daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends support 33 °C as the most probable bin, reflected in its 58 % market-implied probability, while the 27 % share for 34 °C captures limited upside from slight model spread or urban heat effects. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 58%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
13%
33°C
58%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
13%
33°C
58%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 25 center on a maximum of 32–33 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit advection of cooler marine air. These conditions align with the long-term August average of 31–32 °C and typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology, with negligible precipitation risk and stable steering patterns favoring modest daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends support 33 °C as the most probable bin, reflected in its 58 % market-implied probability, while the 27 % share for 34 °C captures limited upside from slight model spread or urban heat effects. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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