Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 27°C for Toronto on August 27 under mainly cloudy conditions, with a 40% chance of showers and risk of thunderstorms, which could suppress peak readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Other models, including those from WeatherBug and Yr.no, indicate afternoon maxima near 25–26°C (77°F) amid westerly winds and moderate humidity. These align with late-August climatology near 24–25°C while reflecting current synoptic patterns that limit stronger warming. The market's concentration on 26°C (51% implied probability) versus 25°C (27%) and 27°C (18%) reflects trader weighting of official guidance against potential downward revisions from precipitation or observational data at key stations, with resolution hinging on verified daily maximum thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日多伦多气温最高?
26°C 52%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 52%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 27°C for Toronto on August 27 under mainly cloudy conditions, with a 40% chance of showers and risk of thunderstorms, which could suppress peak readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Other models, including those from WeatherBug and Yr.no, indicate afternoon maxima near 25–26°C (77°F) amid westerly winds and moderate humidity. These align with late-August climatology near 24–25°C while reflecting current synoptic patterns that limit stronger warming. The market's concentration on 26°C (51% implied probability) versus 25°C (27%) and 27°C (18%) reflects trader weighting of official guidance against potential downward revisions from precipitation or observational data at key stations, with resolution hinging on verified daily maximum thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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