MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
5月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 53%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.2%
12°C 2.5%
最新
$23,971 交易量
最新
$23,971 交易量
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
53%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.2%
12°C 2.5%
最新
$23,971 交易量
最新
$23,971 交易量
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
$681 交易量
<1%
9°C
$485 交易量
<1%
10°C
$540 交易量
<1%
11°C
$4,720 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,754 交易量
2%
13°C
$3,347 交易量
9%
14°C
$3,033 交易量
53%
15°C
$2,201 交易量
36%
16°C
$4,104 交易量
2%
17°C
$1,183 交易量
1%
18°C或以上
$935 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$23,971结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,971结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETMetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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