Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
5月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
45%
15°C
36%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
8°C or below
$407 交易量
<1%
9°C
$218 交易量
<1%
10°C
$223 交易量
<1%
11°C
$37 交易量
1%
12°C
$27 交易量
3%
13°C
$327 交易量
14%
14°C
$310 交易量
45%
15°C
$153 交易量
36%
16°C
$43 交易量
8%
17°C
$244 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$179 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,101结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,101结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETForecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate mild autumn conditions over Wellington, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14°C or 15°C on May 19 amid moderate solar insolation and light northwesterly flows. The narrow spread between these outcomes arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential cloud cover variations that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity, consistent with historical May maxima averaging near 14.5°C, while a stronger southerly change or clearer skies could push the daily high into the upper or lower bracket. Updated model runs through the weekend will narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题