South Korea’s June 3 local elections feature 17 governor and metropolitan mayor races, with the ruling Democratic Party (DP) holding a national polling edge tied to President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings following the prior administration’s martial-law episode. Recent candidate confirmations and coordinated capital-region campaigning have reinforced DP momentum in most strongholds, yet Seoul, Busan, and several other battlegrounds remain competitive because of entrenched incumbents, local issues, and split opposition dynamics. These factors keep the projected win total fluid between eleven and fourteen seats, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to twelve or thirteen as the most plausible outcomes under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于13 31%
12 24%
11 20.0%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
20%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
12%
≥16
1%
13 31%
12 24%
11 20.0%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
20%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
12%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s June 3 local elections feature 17 governor and metropolitan mayor races, with the ruling Democratic Party (DP) holding a national polling edge tied to President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings following the prior administration’s martial-law episode. Recent candidate confirmations and coordinated capital-region campaigning have reinforced DP momentum in most strongholds, yet Seoul, Busan, and several other battlegrounds remain competitive because of entrenched incumbents, local issues, and split opposition dynamics. These factors keep the projected win total fluid between eleven and fourteen seats, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to twelve or thirteen as the most plausible outcomes under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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