Iran and Oman have held ongoing diplomatic talks since April 2026 on coordinating management of the Strait of Hormuz under international law, including potential joint oversight, transit protocols, and navigational fees, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently signaling plans for a joint statement on future operations. However, these discussions remain exploratory amid broader US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and face strong opposition from the Trump administration, which has rejected Iranian control or tolls and issued sanctions threats against Oman. Recent reports of renewed Iranian closures of the waterway and stalled indirect talks via mediators further reduce prospects for a finalized bilateral agreement within the next day. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any imminent breakthrough tied to the June 15 timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,644 交易量
$22,644 交易量
2026-06-15
$22,644 交易量
$22,644 交易量
2026-06-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held ongoing diplomatic talks since April 2026 on coordinating management of the Strait of Hormuz under international law, including potential joint oversight, transit protocols, and navigational fees, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently signaling plans for a joint statement on future operations. However, these discussions remain exploratory amid broader US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and face strong opposition from the Trump administration, which has rejected Iranian control or tolls and issued sanctions threats against Oman. Recent reports of renewed Iranian closures of the waterway and stalled indirect talks via mediators further reduce prospects for a finalized bilateral agreement within the next day. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any imminent breakthrough tied to the June 15 timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$22,644结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held ongoing diplomatic talks since April 2026 on coordinating management of the Strait of Hormuz under international law, including potential joint oversight, transit protocols, and navigational fees, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently signaling plans for a joint statement on future operations. However, these discussions remain exploratory amid broader US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and face strong opposition from the Trump administration, which has rejected Iranian control or tolls and issued sanctions threats against Oman. Recent reports of renewed Iranian closures of the waterway and stalled indirect talks via mediators further reduce prospects for a finalized bilateral agreement within the next day. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any imminent breakthrough tied to the June 15 timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$22,644结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran and Oman have held ongoing diplomatic talks since April 2026 on coordinating management of the Strait of Hormuz under international law, including potential joint oversight, transit protocols, and navigational fees, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently signaling plans for a joint statement on future operations. However, these discussions remain exploratory amid broader US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and face strong opposition from the Trump administration, which has rejected Iranian control or tolls and issued sanctions threats against Oman. Recent reports of renewed Iranian closures of the waterway and stalled indirect talks via mediators further reduce prospects for a finalized bilateral agreement within the next day. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any imminent breakthrough tied to the June 15 timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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