Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6—below the 55.2 consensus and down from July’s 55.6—has tempered expectations for the September reading, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across the low-to-mid 50s amid closely matched odds. Moderating new orders (53.7), elevated prices paid (71.1), and slower supplier deliveries (59.3) reflect persistent cost pressures from tariffs, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and AI-driven input demand, even as production held near 58.3 and the sector marked its eighth straight expansion month. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether September survey responses will show further demand cooling or stabilization ahead of the October 1 release, consistent with the post-2025 recovery trajectory and broader labor-market and monetary-policy backdrop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于57.0到57.9 42%
50.0到50.9 37%
55.0到55.9 36%
53.0到53.9 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
低于50.0
7%
50.0到50.9
37%
51.0到51.9
26%
52.0到52.9
14%
53.0到53.9
27%
54.0到54.9
16%
55.0到55.9
36%
56.0到56.9
26%
57.0到57.9
42%
58.0以上
21%
57.0到57.9 42%
50.0到50.9 37%
55.0到55.9 36%
53.0到53.9 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
低于50.0
$160 交易量
7%
50.0到50.9
$17 交易量
37%
51.0到51.9
$17 交易量
26%
52.0到52.9
$34 交易量
14%
53.0到53.9
$18 交易量
27%
54.0到54.9
$16 交易量
16%
55.0到55.9
$32 交易量
36%
56.0到56.9
$18 交易量
26%
57.0到57.9
$17 交易量
42%
58.0以上
$26 交易量
21%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6—below the 55.2 consensus and down from July’s 55.6—has tempered expectations for the September reading, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across the low-to-mid 50s amid closely matched odds. Moderating new orders (53.7), elevated prices paid (71.1), and slower supplier deliveries (59.3) reflect persistent cost pressures from tariffs, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and AI-driven input demand, even as production held near 58.3 and the sector marked its eighth straight expansion month. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether September survey responses will show further demand cooling or stabilization ahead of the October 1 release, consistent with the post-2025 recovery trajectory and broader labor-market and monetary-policy backdrop.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$354结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETThis is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6—below the 55.2 consensus and down from July’s 55.6—has tempered expectations for the September reading, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across the low-to-mid 50s amid closely matched odds. Moderating new orders (53.7), elevated prices paid (71.1), and slower supplier deliveries (59.3) reflect persistent cost pressures from tariffs, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and AI-driven input demand, even as production held near 58.3 and the sector marked its eighth straight expansion month. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether September survey responses will show further demand cooling or stabilization ahead of the October 1 release, consistent with the post-2025 recovery trajectory and broader labor-market and monetary-policy backdrop.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$354结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRecent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6—below the 55.2 consensus and down from July’s 55.6—has tempered expectations for the September reading, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across the low-to-mid 50s amid closely matched odds. Moderating new orders (53.7), elevated prices paid (71.1), and slower supplier deliveries (59.3) reflect persistent cost pressures from tariffs, Middle East geopolitical tensions, and AI-driven input demand, even as production held near 58.3 and the sector marked its eighth straight expansion month. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether September survey responses will show further demand cooling or stabilization ahead of the October 1 release, consistent with the post-2025 recovery trajectory and broader labor-market and monetary-policy backdrop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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