Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S. diplomatic efforts to end hostilities with Iran and constrain its nuclear program, including leading more than 20 hours of direct face-to-face talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad in mid-April 2026 that produced no agreement after Tehran rejected core U.S. terms. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue and that progress is occurring toward meeting President Trump’s red lines on nuclear safeguards, even after the administration dismissed Tehran’s latest proposal. These developments occur against the backdrop of an active regional conflict, intermittent ceasefires, and ongoing use of intermediaries, with trader focus centered on whether additional high-level contacts will occur before key deadlines for de-escalation or sanctions enforcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$124,708 交易量
May 31
9%
June 30
30%
$124,708 交易量
May 31
9%
June 30
30%
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S. diplomatic efforts to end hostilities with Iran and constrain its nuclear program, including leading more than 20 hours of direct face-to-face talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad in mid-April 2026 that produced no agreement after Tehran rejected core U.S. terms. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that negotiations continue and that progress is occurring toward meeting President Trump’s red lines on nuclear safeguards, even after the administration dismissed Tehran’s latest proposal. These developments occur against the backdrop of an active regional conflict, intermittent ceasefires, and ongoing use of intermediaries, with trader focus centered on whether additional high-level contacts will occur before key deadlines for de-escalation or sanctions enforcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题