Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,663 交易量
$22,663 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
24%
$22,663 交易量
$22,663 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,002 交易量
73%
民主党
$13,661 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$22,663结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,663结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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