Recent forecast models and station observations position the overnight low near 7°C as the leading outcome, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical for late August in the region. Hourly data from multiple sources show temperatures falling into the 8–10°C range during pre-dawn hours, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C but tempered by current conditions favoring slightly cooler readings. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for 7°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these model runs and early observations, though exact resolution depends on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional minimum reports and potential microclimate variations at measurement sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
7°C 89%
6°C 23%
5°C 18%
4°C或以下 4%
$1,120 交易量
$1,120 交易量
2026-08-28
4°C或以下
4%
5°C
18%
6°C
23%
7°C
89%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或更高
<1%
7°C 89%
6°C 23%
5°C 18%
4°C或以下 4%
$1,120 交易量
$1,120 交易量
2026-08-28
4°C或以下
$149 交易量
4%
5°C
$11 交易量
18%
6°C
$0 交易量
23%
7°C
$130 交易量
89%
8°C
$296 交易量
<1%
9°C
$197 交易量
<1%
10°C
$104 交易量
<1%
11°C
$93 交易量
<1%
12°C
$55 交易量
<1%
13°C
$38 交易量
<1%
14°C或更高
$48 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and station observations position the overnight low near 7°C as the leading outcome, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical for late August in the region. Hourly data from multiple sources show temperatures falling into the 8–10°C range during pre-dawn hours, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C but tempered by current conditions favoring slightly cooler readings. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for 7°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these model runs and early observations, though exact resolution depends on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional minimum reports and potential microclimate variations at measurement sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,120结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and station observations position the overnight low near 7°C as the leading outcome, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical for late August in the region. Hourly data from multiple sources show temperatures falling into the 8–10°C range during pre-dawn hours, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C but tempered by current conditions favoring slightly cooler readings. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for 7°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these model runs and early observations, though exact resolution depends on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional minimum reports and potential microclimate variations at measurement sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,120结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent forecast models and station observations position the overnight low near 7°C as the leading outcome, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical for late August in the region. Hourly data from multiple sources show temperatures falling into the 8–10°C range during pre-dawn hours, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C but tempered by current conditions favoring slightly cooler readings. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for 7°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these model runs and early observations, though exact resolution depends on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional minimum reports and potential microclimate variations at measurement sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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