Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum near 11–13°C overnight into September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across 10–12°C outcomes. Radiative cooling under dry, cloud-free conditions following recent rain clearance allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently, while stronger winds may limit the lowest readings compared to calmer nights. Historical September minima in Cape Town average near 10°C, but current stable high pressure and above-normal warmth support the narrower range traders favor. Updated model runs and official SAWS guidance on wind and cloud trends will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日开普敦最低气温？
9月17日开普敦最低气温？
17°C或更高 64%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
11°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
21%
10°C
26%
11°C
28%
12°C
23%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C或更高
64%
17°C或更高 64%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
11°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
$80 交易量
1%
8°C
$41 交易量
10%
9°C
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$0 交易量
23%
13°C
$0 交易量
38%
14°C
$0 交易量
38%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum near 11–13°C overnight into September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across 10–12°C outcomes. Radiative cooling under dry, cloud-free conditions following recent rain clearance allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently, while stronger winds may limit the lowest readings compared to calmer nights. Historical September minima in Cape Town average near 10°C, but current stable high pressure and above-normal warmth support the narrower range traders favor. Updated model runs and official SAWS guidance on wind and cloud trends will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum near 11–13°C overnight into September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across 10–12°C outcomes. Radiative cooling under dry, cloud-free conditions following recent rain clearance allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently, while stronger winds may limit the lowest readings compared to calmer nights. Historical September minima in Cape Town average near 10°C, but current stable high pressure and above-normal warmth support the narrower range traders favor. Updated model runs and official SAWS guidance on wind and cloud trends will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum near 11–13°C overnight into September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across 10–12°C outcomes. Radiative cooling under dry, cloud-free conditions following recent rain clearance allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently, while stronger winds may limit the lowest readings compared to calmer nights. Historical September minima in Cape Town average near 10°C, but current stable high pressure and above-normal warmth support the narrower range traders favor. Updated model runs and official SAWS guidance on wind and cloud trends will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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