**Dominant trader consensus on 80-81°F (99% implied probability) for Dallas’s lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, stems from National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport showing an official minimum of 79°F recorded at 5:42 a.m. under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds.** Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, with daytime highs reaching 102°F and overnight lows remaining elevated near 79°F, aligned with climatological patterns of warm August nights (1991–2020 average low 75.4°F) and recent record-challenging warmth. Model forecasts and real-time station data provided high confidence ahead of resolution, while alternative bins below 78°F or above 82°F carried negligible probability. Only substantial revisions in official reporting or use of outlier microclimate stations could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日达拉斯最低气温?
80-81°F 99.5%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$1,322 交易量
$1,322 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 99.5%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$1,322 交易量
$1,322 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Dominant trader consensus on 80-81°F (99% implied probability) for Dallas’s lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, stems from National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport showing an official minimum of 79°F recorded at 5:42 a.m. under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds.** Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, with daytime highs reaching 102°F and overnight lows remaining elevated near 79°F, aligned with climatological patterns of warm August nights (1991–2020 average low 75.4°F) and recent record-challenging warmth. Model forecasts and real-time station data provided high confidence ahead of resolution, while alternative bins below 78°F or above 82°F carried negligible probability. Only substantial revisions in official reporting or use of outlier microclimate stations could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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