Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 12 project a minimum temperature near 32°C, driven by persistently high humidity levels around 60-80% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling along the Red Sea coast, combined with light winds and partly cloudy conditions suppressing further temperature drops. Official model consensus from agencies tracking regional patterns aligns with this outcome, reflecting typical September climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 29-30°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. The 96% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this strong data alignment, though genuine uncertainty remains if revised model runs or localized wind shifts enhance cooling, potentially pushing the minimum toward 30°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日吉达的最低温度？
9月12日吉达的最低温度？
32°C 99.5%
24°C或以下 94%
26°C 94%
28°C 3%
$503 交易量
$503 交易量
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
32°C 99.5%
24°C或以下 94%
26°C 94%
28°C 3%
$503 交易量
$503 交易量
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
25°C
$45 交易量
否
26°C
$0 交易量
否
27°C
$0 交易量
否
28°C
$35 交易量
否
29°C
$88 交易量
否
30°C
$68 交易量
否
31°C
$160 交易量
否
32°C
$77 交易量
是
33°C
$15 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 12 project a minimum temperature near 32°C, driven by persistently high humidity levels around 60-80% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling along the Red Sea coast, combined with light winds and partly cloudy conditions suppressing further temperature drops. Official model consensus from agencies tracking regional patterns aligns with this outcome, reflecting typical September climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 29-30°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. The 96% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this strong data alignment, though genuine uncertainty remains if revised model runs or localized wind shifts enhance cooling, potentially pushing the minimum toward 30°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$503结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 12 project a minimum temperature near 32°C, driven by persistently high humidity levels around 60-80% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling along the Red Sea coast, combined with light winds and partly cloudy conditions suppressing further temperature drops. Official model consensus from agencies tracking regional patterns aligns with this outcome, reflecting typical September climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 29-30°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. The 96% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this strong data alignment, though genuine uncertainty remains if revised model runs or localized wind shifts enhance cooling, potentially pushing the minimum toward 30°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$503结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 12 project a minimum temperature near 32°C, driven by persistently high humidity levels around 60-80% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling along the Red Sea coast, combined with light winds and partly cloudy conditions suppressing further temperature drops. Official model consensus from agencies tracking regional patterns aligns with this outcome, reflecting typical September climatology where overnight lows rarely fall below 29-30°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. The 96% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this strong data alignment, though genuine uncertainty remains if revised model runs or localized wind shifts enhance cooling, potentially pushing the minimum toward 30°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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