**Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to an overnight low near 21°C in Jinan on August 28, 2026, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly flow.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne Systems, the Met Office, and local Chinese meteorological reports, converge on a nighttime minimum around 21–22°C (roughly 70–71°F), with daytime highs near 25–28°C under overcast skies and a 30–60% chance of scattered thunderstorms or drizzle. This reflects a shift from the hotter, drier conditions earlier in the month—driven by subtropical high influence—to a cooler, more humid pattern with northerly winds and increased moisture. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling overnight while the northerly flow advects slightly cooler air, keeping the minimum from dropping much below 20–21°C. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan shows typical lows near 22°C, but the current setup supports values at or just below that. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 20°C (51%) and 19°C (24%) align with this consensus while incorporating model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing that could allow marginally greater cooling. New forecast updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or NCEP runs will likely refine these odds as the night progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日济南最低气温？
8月28日济南最低气温？
20°C 51%
19°C 24%
18°C 2.6%
17°C 1.0%
$723 交易量
$723 交易量
2026-08-28
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
24%
20°C
51%
21°C
<1%
22℃或更高
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 24%
18°C 2.6%
17°C 1.0%
$723 交易量
$723 交易量
2026-08-28
12°C或以下
$32 交易量
<1%
13°C
$32 交易量
<1%
14°C
$43 交易量
<1%
15°C
$43 交易量
1%
16°C
$43 交易量
1%
17°C
$60 交易量
1%
18°C
$31 交易量
3%
19°C
$64 交易量
24%
20°C
$0 交易量
51%
21°C
$88 交易量
<1%
22℃或更高
$286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to an overnight low near 21°C in Jinan on August 28, 2026, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly flow.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne Systems, the Met Office, and local Chinese meteorological reports, converge on a nighttime minimum around 21–22°C (roughly 70–71°F), with daytime highs near 25–28°C under overcast skies and a 30–60% chance of scattered thunderstorms or drizzle. This reflects a shift from the hotter, drier conditions earlier in the month—driven by subtropical high influence—to a cooler, more humid pattern with northerly winds and increased moisture.
Cloud cover limits radiative cooling overnight while the northerly flow advects slightly cooler air, keeping the minimum from dropping much below 20–21°C. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan shows typical lows near 22°C, but the current setup supports values at or just below that. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 20°C (51%) and 19°C (24%) align with this consensus while incorporating model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing that could allow marginally greater cooling. New forecast updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or NCEP runs will likely refine these odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$723结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to an overnight low near 21°C in Jinan on August 28, 2026, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly flow.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne Systems, the Met Office, and local Chinese meteorological reports, converge on a nighttime minimum around 21–22°C (roughly 70–71°F), with daytime highs near 25–28°C under overcast skies and a 30–60% chance of scattered thunderstorms or drizzle. This reflects a shift from the hotter, drier conditions earlier in the month—driven by subtropical high influence—to a cooler, more humid pattern with northerly winds and increased moisture.
Cloud cover limits radiative cooling overnight while the northerly flow advects slightly cooler air, keeping the minimum from dropping much below 20–21°C. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan shows typical lows near 22°C, but the current setup supports values at or just below that. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 20°C (51%) and 19°C (24%) align with this consensus while incorporating model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing that could allow marginally greater cooling. New forecast updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or NCEP runs will likely refine these odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$723结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to an overnight low near 21°C in Jinan on August 28, 2026, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly flow.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne Systems, the Met Office, and local Chinese meteorological reports, converge on a nighttime minimum around 21–22°C (roughly 70–71°F), with daytime highs near 25–28°C under overcast skies and a 30–60% chance of scattered thunderstorms or drizzle. This reflects a shift from the hotter, drier conditions earlier in the month—driven by subtropical high influence—to a cooler, more humid pattern with northerly winds and increased moisture. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling overnight while the northerly flow advects slightly cooler air, keeping the minimum from dropping much below 20–21°C. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan shows typical lows near 22°C, but the current setup supports values at or just below that. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 20°C (51%) and 19°C (24%) align with this consensus while incorporating model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing that could allow marginally greater cooling. New forecast updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or NCEP runs will likely refine these odds as the night progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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