Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a nighttime low of 19°C for Madrid on August 21, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Historical climatology for the period shows average overnight lows of 18–19°C, reinforcing the strong market consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 19°C. This skin-in-the-game trader alignment reflects model agreement on minimal variability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger advection, or an unforecast frontal passage could lower readings toward 17°C, though current guidance shows little support for such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日马德里最低气温？
8月21日马德里最低气温？
19°C 98%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 98%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C或以下
$100 交易量
<1%
15°C
$124 交易量
<1%
16°C
$104 交易量
<1%
17°C
$76 交易量
1%
18°C
$146 交易量
3%
19°C
$410 交易量
98%
20°C
$225 交易量
<1%
21°C
$183 交易量
<1%
22°C
$191 交易量
<1%
23°C
$259 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$209 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a nighttime low of 19°C for Madrid on August 21, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Historical climatology for the period shows average overnight lows of 18–19°C, reinforcing the strong market consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 19°C. This skin-in-the-game trader alignment reflects model agreement on minimal variability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger advection, or an unforecast frontal passage could lower readings toward 17°C, though current guidance shows little support for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,027结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a nighttime low of 19°C for Madrid on August 21, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Historical climatology for the period shows average overnight lows of 18–19°C, reinforcing the strong market consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 19°C. This skin-in-the-game trader alignment reflects model agreement on minimal variability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger advection, or an unforecast frontal passage could lower readings toward 17°C, though current guidance shows little support for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,027结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a nighttime low of 19°C for Madrid on August 21, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Historical climatology for the period shows average overnight lows of 18–19°C, reinforcing the strong market consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 19°C. This skin-in-the-game trader alignment reflects model agreement on minimal variability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger advection, or an unforecast frontal passage could lower readings toward 17°C, though current guidance shows little support for such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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