Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall to 15–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with the market's 62.5% implied probability on 16°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, supports cooler minima than earlier September norms. Official AEMET observations at the reference station will determine resolution, with any model shifts from updated runs the key near-term variable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日马德里最低气温？
9月14日马德里最低气温？
16°C或以下 66%
19°C 38%
18°C 36%
17°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
66%
17°C
24%
18°C
36%
19°C
38%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
2%
16°C或以下 66%
19°C 38%
18°C 36%
17°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
66%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$0 交易量
36%
19°C
$0 交易量
38%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall to 15–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with the market's 62.5% implied probability on 16°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, supports cooler minima than earlier September norms. Official AEMET observations at the reference station will determine resolution, with any model shifts from updated runs the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall to 15–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with the market's 62.5% implied probability on 16°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, supports cooler minima than earlier September norms. Official AEMET observations at the reference station will determine resolution, with any model shifts from updated runs the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall to 15–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C. This aligns with the market's 62.5% implied probability on 16°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, supports cooler minima than earlier September norms. Official AEMET observations at the reference station will determine resolution, with any model shifts from updated runs the key near-term variable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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