Traders assign a 96.8% implied probability to 13°C as Mexico City’s lowest temperature on August 27, reflecting strong consensus around official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model guidance for the Valley of Mexico at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Late-August conditions during the rainy season typically feature cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing minimums near historical baselines of 10–12°C. Recent model runs showed limited spread, with no major cold-air intrusions or clear-sky anomalies expected to push readings lower. Upcoming confirmation from central station data releases could further solidify resolution, though revisions in post-analysis or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月27日的最低温度？
墨西哥城8月27日的最低温度？
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$3,072 交易量
$3,072 交易量
2026-08-27
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$3,072 交易量
$3,072 交易量
2026-08-27
9°C or below
$192 交易量
No
10°C
$379 交易量
No
11°C
$555 交易量
No
12°C
$544 交易量
No
13°C
$674 交易量
Yes
14°C
$148 交易量
否
15°C
$133 交易量
否
16°C
$38 交易量
否
17°C
$89 交易量
否
18°C
$160 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$160 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 96.8% implied probability to 13°C as Mexico City’s lowest temperature on August 27, reflecting strong consensus around official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model guidance for the Valley of Mexico at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Late-August conditions during the rainy season typically feature cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing minimums near historical baselines of 10–12°C. Recent model runs showed limited spread, with no major cold-air intrusions or clear-sky anomalies expected to push readings lower. Upcoming confirmation from central station data releases could further solidify resolution, though revisions in post-analysis or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,072结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 96.8% implied probability to 13°C as Mexico City’s lowest temperature on August 27, reflecting strong consensus around official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model guidance for the Valley of Mexico at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Late-August conditions during the rainy season typically feature cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing minimums near historical baselines of 10–12°C. Recent model runs showed limited spread, with no major cold-air intrusions or clear-sky anomalies expected to push readings lower. Upcoming confirmation from central station data releases could further solidify resolution, though revisions in post-analysis or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,072结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders assign a 96.8% implied probability to 13°C as Mexico City’s lowest temperature on August 27, reflecting strong consensus around official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model guidance for the Valley of Mexico at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Late-August conditions during the rainy season typically feature cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing minimums near historical baselines of 10–12°C. Recent model runs showed limited spread, with no major cold-air intrusions or clear-sky anomalies expected to push readings lower. Upcoming confirmation from central station data releases could further solidify resolution, though revisions in post-analysis or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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