Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日米兰最低气温？
8月26日米兰最低气温？
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
20°C 49%
16°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
43%
22°C
43%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
20°C 49%
16°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
14°C or below
$0 交易量
63%
15°C
$0 交易量
22%
16°C
$0 交易量
43%
17°C
$0 交易量
43%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
49%
21°C
$0 交易量
43%
22°C
$0 交易量
43%
23°C
$0 交易量
20%
24°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题