Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance indicate Munich's September 3 minimum will likely fall between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions near the long-term average low of 12°C. Trader consensus favoring 11°C or below at 42.5% implied probability reflects model uncertainty around radiational cooling on clearer nights and typical ensemble spread for early-September boundary-layer temperatures. Recent stable high-pressure patterns and absence of incoming frontal systems have kept probabilities anchored near these levels, with limited shifts in the past 48 hours as new runs confirm modest overnight drops without extreme cold advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月3日慕尼黑最低气温？
11°C or below 44%
21°C or higher 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
11°C or below
44%
12°C
23%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
24%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
15%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
32%
11°C or below 44%
21°C or higher 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
11°C or below
$26 交易量
44%
12°C
$0 交易量
23%
13°C
$0 交易量
31%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
24%
16°C
$20 交易量
9%
17°C
$100 交易量
15%
18°C
$0 交易量
15%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C or higher
$0 交易量
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance indicate Munich's September 3 minimum will likely fall between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions near the long-term average low of 12°C. Trader consensus favoring 11°C or below at 42.5% implied probability reflects model uncertainty around radiational cooling on clearer nights and typical ensemble spread for early-September boundary-layer temperatures. Recent stable high-pressure patterns and absence of incoming frontal systems have kept probabilities anchored near these levels, with limited shifts in the past 48 hours as new runs confirm modest overnight drops without extreme cold advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$146结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance indicate Munich's September 3 minimum will likely fall between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions near the long-term average low of 12°C. Trader consensus favoring 11°C or below at 42.5% implied probability reflects model uncertainty around radiational cooling on clearer nights and typical ensemble spread for early-September boundary-layer temperatures. Recent stable high-pressure patterns and absence of incoming frontal systems have kept probabilities anchored near these levels, with limited shifts in the past 48 hours as new runs confirm modest overnight drops without extreme cold advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$146结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance indicate Munich's September 3 minimum will likely fall between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions near the long-term average low of 12°C. Trader consensus favoring 11°C or below at 42.5% implied probability reflects model uncertainty around radiational cooling on clearer nights and typical ensemble spread for early-September boundary-layer temperatures. Recent stable high-pressure patterns and absence of incoming frontal systems have kept probabilities anchored near these levels, with limited shifts in the past 48 hours as new runs confirm modest overnight drops without extreme cold advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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