Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日圣保罗最低温度？
9月15日圣保罗最低温度？
14°C 100.0%
10℃或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$911 交易量
$911 交易量
2026-09-15
10℃或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
10℃或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$911 交易量
$911 交易量
2026-09-15
10℃或以下
$173 交易量
否
11°C
$88 交易量
否
12°C
$86 交易量
否
13°C
$32 交易量
否
14°C
$6 交易量
是
15°C
$339 交易量
否
16°C
$127 交易量
否
17°C
$10 交易量
否
18°C
$5 交易量
否
19°C
$22 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$22 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$911结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$911结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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