**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum in Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models show dew points near 22–24°C and temperatures bottoming out around 24–25°C (75–77°F) during early morning hours, with only modest drops expected under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. This aligns with late-August patterns of elevated moisture from regional moisture transport, which maintains warmer minima compared to drier historical analogs. Recent data confirm no sharp cooling trend, keeping the market-implied odds concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes while assigning negligible probability to sub-23°C readings. Updated model runs and next observational bulletins will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
25°C 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
72%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
72%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum in Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models show dew points near 22–24°C and temperatures bottoming out around 24–25°C (75–77°F) during early morning hours, with only modest drops expected under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. This aligns with late-August patterns of elevated moisture from regional moisture transport, which maintains warmer minima compared to drier historical analogs. Recent data confirm no sharp cooling trend, keeping the market-implied odds concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes while assigning negligible probability to sub-23°C readings. Updated model runs and next observational bulletins will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题