Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate overnight lows near the seasonal average of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, creating a tight contest in trader sentiment between that outcome and a cooler 21°C-or-below scenario. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, yet any increase in northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, or organized rainfall from monsoon influences or distant tropical systems can enhance nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this stage of the season, with official Central Weather Administration observations serving as the definitive resolution source. The near-even implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether conditions will remain typical or shift toward greater cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日台北气温最低？
8月21日台北气温最低？
23°C 59%
22°C 53%
25°C 36%
24°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C或以下
-
22°C
53%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
36%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃或以上
<1%
23°C 59%
22°C 53%
25°C 36%
24°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C或以下
$117 交易量
-
22°C
$92 交易量
53%
23°C
$98 交易量
59%
24°C
$6 交易量
34%
25°C
$0 交易量
36%
26°C
$10 交易量
1%
27°C
$25 交易量
<1%
28°C
$95 交易量
<1%
29°C
$95 交易量
<1%
30°C
$95 交易量
<1%
31℃或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate overnight lows near the seasonal average of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, creating a tight contest in trader sentiment between that outcome and a cooler 21°C-or-below scenario. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, yet any increase in northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, or organized rainfall from monsoon influences or distant tropical systems can enhance nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this stage of the season, with official Central Weather Administration observations serving as the definitive resolution source. The near-even implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether conditions will remain typical or shift toward greater cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$729结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate overnight lows near the seasonal average of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, creating a tight contest in trader sentiment between that outcome and a cooler 21°C-or-below scenario. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, yet any increase in northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, or organized rainfall from monsoon influences or distant tropical systems can enhance nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this stage of the season, with official Central Weather Administration observations serving as the definitive resolution source. The near-even implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether conditions will remain typical or shift toward greater cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$729结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent forecasts for Taipei indicate overnight lows near the seasonal average of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, creating a tight contest in trader sentiment between that outcome and a cooler 21°C-or-below scenario. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, yet any increase in northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, or organized rainfall from monsoon influences or distant tropical systems can enhance nocturnal temperature drops by several degrees. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this stage of the season, with official Central Weather Administration observations serving as the definitive resolution source. The near-even implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether conditions will remain typical or shift toward greater cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题