Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月12日特拉维夫最低气温？
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 交易量
$988 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 交易量
$988 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
$45 交易量
否
20°C
$0 交易量
否
21°C
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$59 交易量
否
23°C
$25 交易量
否
24°C
$82 交易量
是
25°C
$174 交易量
否
26°C
$559 交易量
否
27°C
$15 交易量
否
28°C
$15 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$988结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$988结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题