Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 2 near 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning closely with the historical average minimum of about 24°C for early September. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C at 43.5%, with nearby outcomes like 21–23°C reflecting minor model variations in radiative cooling and urban heat effects. The low probability for 19°C or below (38.5%) stems from the absence of any significant frontal systems or enhanced sea breezes that could produce anomalous cooling, while 29°C or higher remains unlikely given typical post-sunset temperature drops of 5–7°C from daytime highs near 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日特拉维夫最低气温?
19°C or below 78%
22°C 76%
23°C 76%
26°C 76%
19°C or below
78%
20°C
13%
21°C
39%
22°C
76%
23°C
76%
24°C
43%
25°C
-
26°C
76%
27°C
76%
28°C
76%
29°C or higher
6%
19°C or below 78%
22°C 76%
23°C 76%
26°C 76%
19°C or below
78%
20°C
13%
21°C
39%
22°C
76%
23°C
76%
24°C
43%
25°C
-
26°C
76%
27°C
76%
28°C
76%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 2 near 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning closely with the historical average minimum of about 24°C for early September. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C at 43.5%, with nearby outcomes like 21–23°C reflecting minor model variations in radiative cooling and urban heat effects. The low probability for 19°C or below (38.5%) stems from the absence of any significant frontal systems or enhanced sea breezes that could produce anomalous cooling, while 29°C or higher remains unlikely given typical post-sunset temperature drops of 5–7°C from daytime highs near 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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