Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds maintaining typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with historical data where early September lows rarely dip below 24°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. This scientific baseline supports the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while the elevated weighting on 31°C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid stable atmospheric patterns and limited model divergence. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月3日特拉维夫最低气温？
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
22°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
15%
22°C
47%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
41%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
59%
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
22°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$0 交易量
15%
22°C
$0 交易量
47%
23°C
$0 交易量
45%
24°C
$0 交易量
45%
25°C
$0 交易量
45%
26°C
$18 交易量
41%
27°C
$0 交易量
50%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C or higher
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds maintaining typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with historical data where early September lows rarely dip below 24°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. This scientific baseline supports the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while the elevated weighting on 31°C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid stable atmospheric patterns and limited model divergence. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds maintaining typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with historical data where early September lows rarely dip below 24°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. This scientific baseline supports the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while the elevated weighting on 31°C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid stable atmospheric patterns and limited model divergence. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds maintaining typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with historical data where early September lows rarely dip below 24°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. This scientific baseline supports the market's leading 26°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, while the elevated weighting on 31°C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid stable atmospheric patterns and limited model divergence. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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