Recent forecasts from multiple models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 3 likely ranging 22–26°C amid increasing clouds, high humidity near 85–90%, and a 50–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms as a weather system approaches from the south. Southerly winds and potential rain-cooled air could support the market's leading 24–25°C outcomes, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold temperatures nearer 26°C. Model spread centers on exact precipitation timing and cloud cover overnight, creating the tight clustering around 24–25°C with meaningful support for 21°C or below if heavier rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 23–24°C provide context, but short-range updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the final minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日东京最低气温？
9月3日东京最低气温？
31°C or higher 48%
25°C 38%
24°C 31%
21°C or below 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
25%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
31%
25°C
38%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
48%
31°C or higher 48%
25°C 38%
24°C 31%
21°C or below 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$42 交易量
11%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
31%
25°C
$0 交易量
38%
26°C
$0 交易量
14%
27°C
$40 交易量
10%
28°C
$21 交易量
23%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 3 likely ranging 22–26°C amid increasing clouds, high humidity near 85–90%, and a 50–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms as a weather system approaches from the south. Southerly winds and potential rain-cooled air could support the market's leading 24–25°C outcomes, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold temperatures nearer 26°C. Model spread centers on exact precipitation timing and cloud cover overnight, creating the tight clustering around 24–25°C with meaningful support for 21°C or below if heavier rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 23–24°C provide context, but short-range updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$118结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 3 likely ranging 22–26°C amid increasing clouds, high humidity near 85–90%, and a 50–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms as a weather system approaches from the south. Southerly winds and potential rain-cooled air could support the market's leading 24–25°C outcomes, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold temperatures nearer 26°C. Model spread centers on exact precipitation timing and cloud cover overnight, creating the tight clustering around 24–25°C with meaningful support for 21°C or below if heavier rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 23–24°C provide context, but short-range updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$118结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 3 likely ranging 22–26°C amid increasing clouds, high humidity near 85–90%, and a 50–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms as a weather system approaches from the south. Southerly winds and potential rain-cooled air could support the market's leading 24–25°C outcomes, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold temperatures nearer 26°C. Model spread centers on exact precipitation timing and cloud cover overnight, creating the tight clustering around 24–25°C with meaningful support for 21°C or below if heavier rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 23–24°C provide context, but short-range updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the final minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题