Forecast models from agencies including those using GFS data show Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 21 stabilizing near 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points around 18 °C, producing the market's 97 % implied probability for a 16 °C low. This consensus reflects recent model runs and current surface observations of gradual cooling after daytime highs near 26 °C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiational cooling under clearer skies or a model bias toward lower boundary-layer temperatures, both of which remain possible within typical forecast error ranges before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月21日最低气温？
华沙8月21日最低气温？
16°C 97%
15°C 3%
14°C 2%
13°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
16°C 97%
15°C 3%
14°C 2%
13°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
$721 交易量
<1%
13°C
$139 交易量
1%
14°C
$150 交易量
2%
15°C
$115 交易量
3%
16°C
$326 交易量
97%
17°C
$1,970 交易量
<1%
18°C
$153 交易量
<1%
19°C
$129 交易量
<1%
20°C
$129 交易量
<1%
21°C
$129 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including those using GFS data show Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 21 stabilizing near 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points around 18 °C, producing the market's 97 % implied probability for a 16 °C low. This consensus reflects recent model runs and current surface observations of gradual cooling after daytime highs near 26 °C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiational cooling under clearer skies or a model bias toward lower boundary-layer temperatures, both of which remain possible within typical forecast error ranges before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$4,120结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including those using GFS data show Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 21 stabilizing near 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points around 18 °C, producing the market's 97 % implied probability for a 16 °C low. This consensus reflects recent model runs and current surface observations of gradual cooling after daytime highs near 26 °C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiational cooling under clearer skies or a model bias toward lower boundary-layer temperatures, both of which remain possible within typical forecast error ranges before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,120结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETForecast models from agencies including those using GFS data show Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 21 stabilizing near 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points around 18 °C, producing the market's 97 % implied probability for a 16 °C low. This consensus reflects recent model runs and current surface observations of gradual cooling after daytime highs near 26 °C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiational cooling under clearer skies or a model bias toward lower boundary-layer temperatures, both of which remain possible within typical forecast error ranges before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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