Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 22 near 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 15 °C (31.5 %), 14 °C (30.0 %), and 13 °C (28.0 %). Differences among these outcomes hinge on overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, modulated by forecast cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger radiative cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or mixing would limit the drop. With resolution imminent, traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and official observations from Polish meteorological services for any shifts in these key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日华沙最低气温？
8月22日华沙最低气温？
14°C 30%
13°C 27%
12°C 12%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
10°C or below
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
12%
13°C
27%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 30%
13°C 27%
12°C 12%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
10°C or below
$31 交易量
4%
11°C
$8 交易量
8%
12°C
$0 交易量
12%
13°C
$2 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$43 交易量
31%
16°C
$0 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
8%
18°C
$62 交易量
3%
19°C
$30 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$30 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 22 near 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 15 °C (31.5 %), 14 °C (30.0 %), and 13 °C (28.0 %). Differences among these outcomes hinge on overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, modulated by forecast cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger radiative cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or mixing would limit the drop. With resolution imminent, traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and official observations from Polish meteorological services for any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$206结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 22 near 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 15 °C (31.5 %), 14 °C (30.0 %), and 13 °C (28.0 %). Differences among these outcomes hinge on overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, modulated by forecast cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger radiative cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or mixing would limit the drop. With resolution imminent, traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and official observations from Polish meteorological services for any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$206结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETLatest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 22 near 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 15 °C (31.5 %), 14 °C (30.0 %), and 13 °C (28.0 %). Differences among these outcomes hinge on overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, modulated by forecast cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger radiative cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or mixing would limit the drop. With resolution imminent, traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and official observations from Polish meteorological services for any shifts in these key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题