Recent polls show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead of 35-37 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democrats (SPD) at 23-27 percent. This consistent advantage in surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA reflects the party's strength in eastern German states on issues such as immigration and regional concerns, positioning it as the frontrunner to secure the most seats. The SPD, currently leading the state government, has narrowed the gap slightly in the latest readings but remains far behind. Other parties, including the CDU, Left, Greens, and BSW, register support levels too low to challenge for victory under current trends. Traders price AfD dominance accordingly, though coalition dynamics and final turnout could still influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 86%
社民党 14%
自民党 <1%
基民盟 <1%
$220,328 交易量
$220,328 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
86%
社民党
14%
自民党
<1%
基民盟
<1%
格鲁内党
<1%
BSW
<1%
左翼党
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 86%
社民党 14%
自民党 <1%
基民盟 <1%
$220,328 交易量
$220,328 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
$8,333 交易量
86%
社民党
$37,071 交易量
14%
自民党
$50,818 交易量
<1%
基民盟
$28,594 交易量
<1%
格鲁内党
$53,394 交易量
<1%
BSW
$12,545 交易量
<1%
左翼党
$9,060 交易量
<1%
FW
$20,514 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead of 35-37 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democrats (SPD) at 23-27 percent. This consistent advantage in surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA reflects the party's strength in eastern German states on issues such as immigration and regional concerns, positioning it as the frontrunner to secure the most seats. The SPD, currently leading the state government, has narrowed the gap slightly in the latest readings but remains far behind. Other parties, including the CDU, Left, Greens, and BSW, register support levels too low to challenge for victory under current trends. Traders price AfD dominance accordingly, though coalition dynamics and final turnout could still influence the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$220,328结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead of 35-37 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democrats (SPD) at 23-27 percent. This consistent advantage in surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA reflects the party's strength in eastern German states on issues such as immigration and regional concerns, positioning it as the frontrunner to secure the most seats. The SPD, currently leading the state government, has narrowed the gap slightly in the latest readings but remains far behind. Other parties, including the CDU, Left, Greens, and BSW, register support levels too low to challenge for victory under current trends. Traders price AfD dominance accordingly, though coalition dynamics and final turnout could still influence the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$220,328结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead of 35-37 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democrats (SPD) at 23-27 percent. This consistent advantage in surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA reflects the party's strength in eastern German states on issues such as immigration and regional concerns, positioning it as the frontrunner to secure the most seats. The SPD, currently leading the state government, has narrowed the gap slightly in the latest readings but remains far behind. Other parties, including the CDU, Left, Greens, and BSW, register support levels too low to challenge for victory under current trends. Traders price AfD dominance accordingly, though coalition dynamics and final turnout could still influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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