Republican incumbent Rep. Tim Walberg filed for re-election on April 20 in Michigan's solidly conservative 5th Congressional District, facing no announced GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, cementing trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican hold. The district's partisan lean—rooted in strong past Republican margins—and Walberg's incumbency advantage insulate him from serious threats, with Democrat James Bronke the lone named general election opponent so far lacking competitive polling or fundraising. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, a personal scandal, health issue, or late GOP primary upset would be needed to realistically challenge the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,654 交易量
91%
民主党
$801 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rep. Tim Walberg filed for re-election on April 20 in Michigan's solidly conservative 5th Congressional District, facing no announced GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, cementing trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican hold. The district's partisan lean—rooted in strong past Republican margins—and Walberg's incumbency advantage insulate him from serious threats, with Democrat James Bronke the lone named general election opponent so far lacking competitive polling or fundraising. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, a personal scandal, health issue, or late GOP primary upset would be needed to realistically challenge the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$3,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rep. Tim Walberg filed for re-election on April 20 in Michigan's solidly conservative 5th Congressional District, facing no announced GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, cementing trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican hold. The district's partisan lean—rooted in strong past Republican margins—and Walberg's incumbency advantage insulate him from serious threats, with Democrat James Bronke the lone named general election opponent so far lacking competitive polling or fundraising. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, a personal scandal, health issue, or late GOP primary upset would be needed to realistically challenge the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rep. Tim Walberg filed for re-election on April 20 in Michigan's solidly conservative 5th Congressional District, facing no announced GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, cementing trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican hold. The district's partisan lean—rooted in strong past Republican margins—and Walberg's incumbency advantage insulate him from serious threats, with Democrat James Bronke the lone named general election opponent so far lacking competitive polling or fundraising. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, a personal scandal, health issue, or late GOP primary upset would be needed to realistically challenge the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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