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icon for 菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者

菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者

icon for 菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者

菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者

珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加 38%

哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小 14%

劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特 13%

莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯 4.5%

Polymarket
最新

珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加 38%

哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小 14%

劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特 13%

莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯 4.5%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加

珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加

$61 交易量

38%

icon for 哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小

哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小

$41 交易量

14%

icon for 劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特

劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特

$41 交易量

13%

icon for 莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯

莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯

$41 交易量

4%

icon for 马文·奥帕明·杜帕尔阿格

马文·奥帕明·杜帕尔阿格

$41 交易量

1%

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
交易量
$225
结束日期
2026-08-29
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
交易量
$225
结束日期
2026-08-29
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加",概率为 38%,其次是"哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加",概率为 38%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"菲律宾,第4届国会选区特别选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。