The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加 38%
哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小 14%
劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特 13%
莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯 4.5%

珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加
38%

哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小
14%

劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特
13%

莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯
4%

马文·奥帕明·杜帕尔阿格
1%
珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加 38%
哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小 14%
劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特 13%
莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯 4.5%

珍妮弗·奥地利·巴尔扎加
38%

哈辛托·包蒂斯塔·弗拉尼小
14%

劳尔·雷克斯·德尔·罗萨里奥·曼古巴特
13%

莱桑德·阿吉拉尔·奥尔德内斯
4%

马文·奥帕明·杜帕尔阿格
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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