The open U.S. Senate seat in Montana, created by incumbent Steve Daines's surprise withdrawal just before the March filing deadline, has elevated Republican nominee Kurt Alme as the clear frontrunner among traders. Alme, endorsed by Daines and President Trump, benefits from strong early fundraising and party alignment in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2012. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures meaningful support by appealing to moderate voters and drawing some cross-party backing, while the crowded Democratic primary field remains underfunded ahead of the June 2 contest. These dynamics explain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 78%
无党派人士 16.2%
民主党 2.2%
$72,988 交易量
$72,988 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
无党派人士
16%
民主党
2%
共和党 78%
无党派人士 16.2%
民主党 2.2%
$72,988 交易量
$72,988 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$37,499 交易量
78%
无党派人士
$1,575 交易量
16%
民主党
$33,914 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Montana, created by incumbent Steve Daines's surprise withdrawal just before the March filing deadline, has elevated Republican nominee Kurt Alme as the clear frontrunner among traders. Alme, endorsed by Daines and President Trump, benefits from strong early fundraising and party alignment in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2012. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures meaningful support by appealing to moderate voters and drawing some cross-party backing, while the crowded Democratic primary field remains underfunded ahead of the June 2 contest. These dynamics explain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$72,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Montana, created by incumbent Steve Daines's surprise withdrawal just before the March filing deadline, has elevated Republican nominee Kurt Alme as the clear frontrunner among traders. Alme, endorsed by Daines and President Trump, benefits from strong early fundraising and party alignment in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2012. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures meaningful support by appealing to moderate voters and drawing some cross-party backing, while the crowded Democratic primary field remains underfunded ahead of the June 2 contest. These dynamics explain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$72,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Montana, created by incumbent Steve Daines's surprise withdrawal just before the March filing deadline, has elevated Republican nominee Kurt Alme as the clear frontrunner among traders. Alme, endorsed by Daines and President Trump, benefits from strong early fundraising and party alignment in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2012. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures meaningful support by appealing to moderate voters and drawing some cross-party backing, while the crowded Democratic primary field remains underfunded ahead of the June 2 contest. These dynamics explain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题