Montana's Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Kurt Alme secured the Republican nomination after incumbent Steve Daines opted not to seek a third term and has maintained leads of 12 to 24 points in polling against Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, whose candidacies split opposition support. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican. Alme's background as former U.S. attorney and early endorsements have helped consolidate party backing ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur through unusually high independent turnout, late-campaign developments that unify non-Republican voters, or unforeseen events altering candidate visibility in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 92%
无党派人士 5.8%
民主党 <1%
$108,030 交易量
$108,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
无党派人士
6%
民主党
<1%
共和党 92%
无党派人士 5.8%
民主党 <1%
$108,030 交易量
$108,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$54,815 交易量
92%
无党派人士
$13,584 交易量
6%
民主党
$39,631 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Kurt Alme secured the Republican nomination after incumbent Steve Daines opted not to seek a third term and has maintained leads of 12 to 24 points in polling against Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, whose candidacies split opposition support. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican. Alme's background as former U.S. attorney and early endorsements have helped consolidate party backing ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur through unusually high independent turnout, late-campaign developments that unify non-Republican voters, or unforeseen events altering candidate visibility in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$108,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Kurt Alme secured the Republican nomination after incumbent Steve Daines opted not to seek a third term and has maintained leads of 12 to 24 points in polling against Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, whose candidacies split opposition support. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican. Alme's background as former U.S. attorney and early endorsements have helped consolidate party backing ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur through unusually high independent turnout, late-campaign developments that unify non-Republican voters, or unforeseen events altering candidate visibility in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$108,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Kurt Alme secured the Republican nomination after incumbent Steve Daines opted not to seek a third term and has maintained leads of 12 to 24 points in polling against Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, whose candidacies split opposition support. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican. Alme's background as former U.S. attorney and early endorsements have helped consolidate party backing ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur through unusually high independent turnout, late-campaign developments that unify non-Republican voters, or unforeseen events altering candidate visibility in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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