Incumbent Republican Tim Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, a suburban Charlotte seat with R+8 Cook PVI that backed Trump by 11 points in 2024, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. His dominant March 3 primary victory (83% over challenger Kate Barr) and strong fundraising ($1.57 million cash on hand as of late March) underscore incumbency advantages in this reliably red district. Democratic nominee Lakesha Womack, who narrowly won her primary (52%), trails at 21.5% amid her party's fundraising disadvantages and lack of recent polling shifts. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, with the November 3 general election approaching amid steady national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,025 交易量
$15,025 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
22%
$15,025 交易量
$15,025 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,037 交易量
77%
民主党
$10,988 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, a suburban Charlotte seat with R+8 Cook PVI that backed Trump by 11 points in 2024, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. His dominant March 3 primary victory (83% over challenger Kate Barr) and strong fundraising ($1.57 million cash on hand as of late March) underscore incumbency advantages in this reliably red district. Democratic nominee Lakesha Womack, who narrowly won her primary (52%), trails at 21.5% amid her party's fundraising disadvantages and lack of recent polling shifts. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, with the November 3 general election approaching amid steady national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$15,025结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, a suburban Charlotte seat with R+8 Cook PVI that backed Trump by 11 points in 2024, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. His dominant March 3 primary victory (83% over challenger Kate Barr) and strong fundraising ($1.57 million cash on hand as of late March) underscore incumbency advantages in this reliably red district. Democratic nominee Lakesha Womack, who narrowly won her primary (52%), trails at 21.5% amid her party's fundraising disadvantages and lack of recent polling shifts. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, with the November 3 general election approaching amid steady national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,025结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, a suburban Charlotte seat with R+8 Cook PVI that backed Trump by 11 points in 2024, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. His dominant March 3 primary victory (83% over challenger Kate Barr) and strong fundraising ($1.57 million cash on hand as of late March) underscore incumbency advantages in this reliably red district. Democratic nominee Lakesha Womack, who narrowly won her primary (52%), trails at 21.5% amid her party's fundraising disadvantages and lack of recent polling shifts. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, with the November 3 general election approaching amid steady national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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