Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections that produced a hung National Assembly, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement was unable to assemble the 46 seats required for a majority. This shift has positioned Janez Janša, leader of the Slovenian Democratic Party, to lead coalition negotiations with center-right partners including New Slovenia. Traders assign Janša a commanding 95.3% probability, reflecting progress on draft guidelines and procedural advances such as ministry reductions. Remaining risks include last-minute partner defections, failure to secure a floor vote, or renewed talks that could trigger snap elections or alternative nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Janez Janša 95.3%
安热·洛加尔 1.4%
耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨 <1%
罗伯特·戈洛布 <1%
$3,017,192 交易量
$3,017,192 交易量

Janez Janša
95%

安热·洛加尔
1%

耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨
1%

罗伯特·戈洛布
<1%

弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇
<1%

卢卡·梅塞茨
<1%

马特亚日·汉
<1%

马特耶·托宁
<1%

佐兰·斯特瓦诺维奇
<1%
Janez Janša 95.3%
安热·洛加尔 1.4%
耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨 <1%
罗伯特·戈洛布 <1%
$3,017,192 交易量
$3,017,192 交易量

Janez Janša
95%

安热·洛加尔
1%

耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨
1%

罗伯特·戈洛布
<1%

弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇
<1%

卢卡·梅塞茨
<1%

马特亚日·汉
<1%

马特耶·托宁
<1%

佐兰·斯特瓦诺维奇
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections that produced a hung National Assembly, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement was unable to assemble the 46 seats required for a majority. This shift has positioned Janez Janša, leader of the Slovenian Democratic Party, to lead coalition negotiations with center-right partners including New Slovenia. Traders assign Janša a commanding 95.3% probability, reflecting progress on draft guidelines and procedural advances such as ministry reductions. Remaining risks include last-minute partner defections, failure to secure a floor vote, or renewed talks that could trigger snap elections or alternative nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题