Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a lead of 32-34 percent, positioning their bloc for a projected narrow majority over the Tidö coalition. This voter shift reflects ongoing concerns with economic conditions and immigration enforcement under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, sustaining Magdalena Andersson's status as the trader consensus favorite at 68.5 percent implied probability. Kristersson's April announcement of plans to integrate the Sweden Democrats more fully into a four-party majority government with ministerial roles has not reversed these trends, leaving him at 29.5 percent. In Sweden's proportional representation system, the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc typically forms the government, though outcomes remain sensitive to final seat distributions and coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛格达莱娜·安德松 69%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 30%
吉米·奥克松 2.3%
埃巴·布什 <1%
$1,953,793 交易量
$1,953,793 交易量
玛格达莱娜·安德松
69%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松
30%
吉米·奥克松
2%
埃巴·布什
1%
安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%
阿曼达·林德
<1%
西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%
丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%
努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%
伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
玛格达莱娜·安德松 69%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 30%
吉米·奥克松 2.3%
埃巴·布什 <1%
$1,953,793 交易量
$1,953,793 交易量
玛格达莱娜·安德松
69%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松
30%
吉米·奥克松
2%
埃巴·布什
1%
安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%
阿曼达·林德
<1%
西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%
丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%
努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%
伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling for Sweden's September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a lead of 32-34 percent, positioning their bloc for a projected narrow majority over the Tidö coalition. This voter shift reflects ongoing concerns with economic conditions and immigration enforcement under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, sustaining Magdalena Andersson's status as the trader consensus favorite at 68.5 percent implied probability. Kristersson's April announcement of plans to integrate the Sweden Democrats more fully into a four-party majority government with ministerial roles has not reversed these trends, leaving him at 29.5 percent. In Sweden's proportional representation system, the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc typically forms the government, though outcomes remain sensitive to final seat distributions and coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题