New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and three decades without a Republican victory, which underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat, drawing a crowded field of 13 Democratic primary candidates on June 2 against a single Republican contender. Recent internal polling shows Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy leading the Democratic primary after substantial super PAC spending and local endorsements. A significant national Republican midterm surge or a post-primary scandal involving the Democratic nominee represent the clearest pathways that could narrow the margin, though both face steep structural barriers in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,763 交易量
$12,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$12,763 交易量
$12,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,645 交易量
92%
共和党
$2,117 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and three decades without a Republican victory, which underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat, drawing a crowded field of 13 Democratic primary candidates on June 2 against a single Republican contender. Recent internal polling shows Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy leading the Democratic primary after substantial super PAC spending and local endorsements. A significant national Republican midterm surge or a post-primary scandal involving the Democratic nominee represent the clearest pathways that could narrow the margin, though both face steep structural barriers in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and three decades without a Republican victory, which underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat, drawing a crowded field of 13 Democratic primary candidates on June 2 against a single Republican contender. Recent internal polling shows Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy leading the Democratic primary after substantial super PAC spending and local endorsements. A significant national Republican midterm surge or a post-primary scandal involving the Democratic nominee represent the clearest pathways that could narrow the margin, though both face steep structural barriers in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a durable Democratic edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and three decades without a Republican victory, which underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman created an open seat, drawing a crowded field of 13 Democratic primary candidates on June 2 against a single Republican contender. Recent internal polling shows Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy leading the Democratic primary after substantial super PAC spending and local endorsements. A significant national Republican midterm surge or a post-primary scandal involving the Democratic nominee represent the clearest pathways that could narrow the margin, though both face steep structural barriers in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题