The Democratic Party of Korea holds a strong position heading into the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats, conducted alongside nationwide local elections. Trader consensus on 10 or more seats for the DP reflects its status as the ruling party with solid approval ratings and historical advantages in off-year contests one year after presidential elections. Recent developments include candidate registrations beginning this week, unified party messaging framing the vote as a referendum on opposition-linked issues from prior administrations, and polling that continues to show DP candidates ahead despite a modest narrowing of the gap with the People Power Party. These factors, combined with the party's organizational strength and voter turnout patterns in contested districts, sustain expectations of a substantial seat haul while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or localized campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10个及以上 80.7%
8-9 12.3%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10个及以上
77%
10个及以上 80.7%
8-9 12.3%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10个及以上
77%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea holds a strong position heading into the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats, conducted alongside nationwide local elections. Trader consensus on 10 or more seats for the DP reflects its status as the ruling party with solid approval ratings and historical advantages in off-year contests one year after presidential elections. Recent developments include candidate registrations beginning this week, unified party messaging framing the vote as a referendum on opposition-linked issues from prior administrations, and polling that continues to show DP candidates ahead despite a modest narrowing of the gap with the People Power Party. These factors, combined with the party's organizational strength and voter turnout patterns in contested districts, sustain expectations of a substantial seat haul while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or localized campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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