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icon for 萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者

萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者

icon for 萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者

萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者

AfD 94%

基民盟 5.8%

BSW <1%

绿党 <1%

Polymarket

$703,067 交易量

AfD 94%

基民盟 5.8%

BSW <1%

绿党 <1%

Polymarket

$703,067 交易量

icon for AfD

AfD

$21,194 交易量

94%

icon for 基民盟

基民盟

$469,754 交易量

6%

icon for BSW

BSW

$19,322 交易量

1%

icon for 绿党

绿党

$35,840 交易量

1%

icon for 自民党(FDP)

自民党(FDP)

$14,682 交易量

<1%

icon for 左翼党

左翼党

$35,214 交易量

<1%

icon for 社民党

社民党

$107,061 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$703,067
结束日期
2026-09-06
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$703,067
结束日期
2026-09-06
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"AfD",概率为 94%,其次是"基民盟",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者"已产生 $703.1K 的总交易量(自Feb 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"AfD",概率为 94%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"基民盟",概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"萨克森-安哈特州议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。