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icon for 塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?

塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?

icon for 塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?

塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?

83% 概率
Polymarket

$33,500 交易量

83% 概率
Polymarket

$33,500 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić's recent signals have driven the 82.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary snap election before 2027.** On May 7, Vučić outlined a reform agenda for government, education, and energy sectors while stating a decision on early elections would come within 10 days, fueling trader optimism for a summer or autumn vote. This follows his April 26 announcement of extraordinary polls and May 1 indication of possible July 12 or fall timing, amid persistent opposition pressure from student-led protests demanding accountability and electoral renewal. In Serbia's parliamentary system, the president can dissolve the National Assembly after consultations, aligning with historical patterns of frequent snap elections under the ruling Serbian Progressive Party to consolidate power before the full term ends December 2027. Upcoming consultations and reform implementation could confirm the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,500
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić's recent signals have driven the 82.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary snap election before 2027.** On May 7, Vučić outlined a reform agenda for government, education, and energy sectors while stating a decision on early elections would come within 10 days, fueling trader optimism for a summer or autumn vote. This follows his April 26 announcement of extraordinary polls and May 1 indication of possible July 12 or fall timing, amid persistent opposition pressure from student-led protests demanding accountability and electoral renewal. In Serbia's parliamentary system, the president can dissolve the National Assembly after consultations, aligning with historical patterns of frequent snap elections under the ruling Serbian Progressive Party to consolidate power before the full term ends December 2027. Upcoming consultations and reform implementation could confirm the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,500
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2027年前会举行塞尔维亚议会选举吗?",概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?"已产生 $33.5K 的总交易量(自Jan 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?"的当前领先者是"2027年前会举行塞尔维亚议会选举吗?",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"塞尔维亚议会选举在2027年之前举行?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。