Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
低于37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 交易量
$6,278 交易量
2026-08-14
低于37.0
否
37.0–37.4
否
37.5–37.9
否
38.0–38.4
是
38.5–38.9
否
39.0及以上
否
38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
低于37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 交易量
$6,278 交易量
2026-08-14
低于37.0
$1,152 交易量
否
37.0–37.4
$674 交易量
否
37.5–37.9
$888 交易量
否
38.0–38.4
$1,234 交易量
是
38.5–38.9
$1,261 交易量
否
39.0及以上
$1,070 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$6,278结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$6,278结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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