Recent energy price surges and ongoing trade tensions have driven the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index to a preliminary 47.8 reading for September 2026, down sharply from 51.7 in August and aligning closely with the market's leading 46.0–48.9 range at 74% implied probability. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%, the highest since June, amid gasoline prices rising over 27% year-over-year and broader concerns about household purchasing power. Declines in both current conditions and expectations components reflect persistent uncertainty from geopolitical factors and policy developments, even as the underlying labor market remains relatively stable. This positions the outcome well within the dominant probability band while highlighting sensitivity to near-term inflation data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于46.0到48.9 74%
43.0到45.9 21%
49.0到51.9 4.0%
低于43.0 3.9%
$10,806 交易量
$10,806 交易量
2026-09-25
低于43.0
4%
43.0到45.9
21%
46.0到48.9
74%
49.0到51.9
4%
52.0到54.9
<1%
55.0至57.9
3%
58.0以上
<1%
46.0到48.9 74%
43.0到45.9 21%
49.0到51.9 4.0%
低于43.0 3.9%
$10,806 交易量
$10,806 交易量
2026-09-25
低于43.0
$755 交易量
4%
43.0到45.9
$1,521 交易量
21%
46.0到48.9
$5,784 交易量
74%
49.0到51.9
$595 交易量
4%
52.0到54.9
$470 交易量
<1%
55.0至57.9
$1,238 交易量
3%
58.0以上
$442 交易量
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges and ongoing trade tensions have driven the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index to a preliminary 47.8 reading for September 2026, down sharply from 51.7 in August and aligning closely with the market's leading 46.0–48.9 range at 74% implied probability. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%, the highest since June, amid gasoline prices rising over 27% year-over-year and broader concerns about household purchasing power. Declines in both current conditions and expectations components reflect persistent uncertainty from geopolitical factors and policy developments, even as the underlying labor market remains relatively stable. This positions the outcome well within the dominant probability band while highlighting sensitivity to near-term inflation data releases.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
交易量
$10,806结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETThis is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges and ongoing trade tensions have driven the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index to a preliminary 47.8 reading for September 2026, down sharply from 51.7 in August and aligning closely with the market's leading 46.0–48.9 range at 74% implied probability. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%, the highest since June, amid gasoline prices rising over 27% year-over-year and broader concerns about household purchasing power. Declines in both current conditions and expectations components reflect persistent uncertainty from geopolitical factors and policy developments, even as the underlying labor market remains relatively stable. This positions the outcome well within the dominant probability band while highlighting sensitivity to near-term inflation data releases.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$10,806结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETRecent energy price surges and ongoing trade tensions have driven the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index to a preliminary 47.8 reading for September 2026, down sharply from 51.7 in August and aligning closely with the market's leading 46.0–48.9 range at 74% implied probability. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%, the highest since June, amid gasoline prices rising over 27% year-over-year and broader concerns about household purchasing power. Declines in both current conditions and expectations components reflect persistent uncertainty from geopolitical factors and policy developments, even as the underlying labor market remains relatively stable. This positions the outcome well within the dominant probability band while highlighting sensitivity to near-term inflation data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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