Recent U.S. rhetoric under President Trump has heightened tensions with Cuba through public threats of potential military action following the Iran conflict, yet officials emphasize that no imminent strikes are planned. Instead, the administration has prioritized economic measures, including a January executive order imposing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers to Cuba and renewed sanctions, alongside Justice Department steps to indict former leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 incident. Cuban officials have condemned the threats and conducted defensive military drills, while bilateral diplomatic talks continue, including a recent CIA director visit to Havana. These developments, combined with Senate Republican caution against diverting resources from other priorities, sustain trader consensus that a direct military clash remains unlikely this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$109,376 交易量
$109,376 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$109,376 交易量
$109,376 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. rhetoric under President Trump has heightened tensions with Cuba through public threats of potential military action following the Iran conflict, yet officials emphasize that no imminent strikes are planned. Instead, the administration has prioritized economic measures, including a January executive order imposing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers to Cuba and renewed sanctions, alongside Justice Department steps to indict former leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 incident. Cuban officials have condemned the threats and conducted defensive military drills, while bilateral diplomatic talks continue, including a recent CIA director visit to Havana. These developments, combined with Senate Republican caution against diverting resources from other priorities, sustain trader consensus that a direct military clash remains unlikely this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$109,376结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. rhetoric under President Trump has heightened tensions with Cuba through public threats of potential military action following the Iran conflict, yet officials emphasize that no imminent strikes are planned. Instead, the administration has prioritized economic measures, including a January executive order imposing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers to Cuba and renewed sanctions, alongside Justice Department steps to indict former leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 incident. Cuban officials have condemned the threats and conducted defensive military drills, while bilateral diplomatic talks continue, including a recent CIA director visit to Havana. These developments, combined with Senate Republican caution against diverting resources from other priorities, sustain trader consensus that a direct military clash remains unlikely this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$109,376结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. rhetoric under President Trump has heightened tensions with Cuba through public threats of potential military action following the Iran conflict, yet officials emphasize that no imminent strikes are planned. Instead, the administration has prioritized economic measures, including a January executive order imposing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers to Cuba and renewed sanctions, alongside Justice Department steps to indict former leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 incident. Cuban officials have condemned the threats and conducted defensive military drills, while bilateral diplomatic talks continue, including a recent CIA director visit to Havana. These developments, combined with Senate Republican caution against diverting resources from other priorities, sustain trader consensus that a direct military clash remains unlikely this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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