Google’s repeated delays to its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and still in partner testing as of mid-September—have shifted trader focus to an October window for the next Pro-tier release. Iterative Flash and Live model drops, including 3.8 variants in early and mid-September, underscore Google’s monthly cadence on lighter models while the frontier Pro remains refined for stronger agentic coding and long-horizon performance. Reports of an ambitious Gemini 4 Pro pre-training run targeting October capabilities in SVG generation and 3D modeling further support the 50.5% market-implied odds for October 12–18. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind or Alphabet earnings updates that could clarify timelines or confirm feature thresholds for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日 51%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日 14.8%
在11月1日前不发布 15%
10月5日–10月11日 5.6%
$60,926 交易量
$60,926 交易量
2026-09-27
9月14日–9月20日
<1%
9月21日–9月27日
3%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
4%
10月5日–10月11日
6%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
51%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
15%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
5%
在11月1日前不发布
15%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日 51%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日 14.8%
在11月1日前不发布 15%
10月5日–10月11日 5.6%
$60,926 交易量
$60,926 交易量
2026-09-27
9月14日–9月20日
$754 交易量
<1%
9月21日–9月27日
$1,209 交易量
3%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
$1,899 交易量
4%
10月5日–10月11日
$975 交易量
6%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
$6,070 交易量
51%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
$1,813 交易量
15%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
$1,142 交易量
5%
在11月1日前不发布
$44,067 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays to its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and still in partner testing as of mid-September—have shifted trader focus to an October window for the next Pro-tier release. Iterative Flash and Live model drops, including 3.8 variants in early and mid-September, underscore Google’s monthly cadence on lighter models while the frontier Pro remains refined for stronger agentic coding and long-horizon performance. Reports of an ambitious Gemini 4 Pro pre-training run targeting October capabilities in SVG generation and 3D modeling further support the 50.5% market-implied odds for October 12–18. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind or Alphabet earnings updates that could clarify timelines or confirm feature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$60,926结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays to its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and still in partner testing as of mid-September—have shifted trader focus to an October window for the next Pro-tier release. Iterative Flash and Live model drops, including 3.8 variants in early and mid-September, underscore Google’s monthly cadence on lighter models while the frontier Pro remains refined for stronger agentic coding and long-horizon performance. Reports of an ambitious Gemini 4 Pro pre-training run targeting October capabilities in SVG generation and 3D modeling further support the 50.5% market-implied odds for October 12–18. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind or Alphabet earnings updates that could clarify timelines or confirm feature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$60,926结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETGoogle’s repeated delays to its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and still in partner testing as of mid-September—have shifted trader focus to an October window for the next Pro-tier release. Iterative Flash and Live model drops, including 3.8 variants in early and mid-September, underscore Google’s monthly cadence on lighter models while the frontier Pro remains refined for stronger agentic coding and long-horizon performance. Reports of an ambitious Gemini 4 Pro pre-training run targeting October capabilities in SVG generation and 3D modeling further support the 50.5% market-implied odds for October 12–18. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind or Alphabet earnings updates that could clarify timelines or confirm feature thresholds for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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