The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于其他 100.0%
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌 <1%
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与涅托 <1%
洛佩斯·查乌 & 藤森 <1%
$1,181,384 交易量
$1,181,384 交易量
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与涅托
否
洛佩斯·查乌 & 藤森
否
洛佩斯·查乌与涅托
否
洛佩斯·查乌与桑切斯·帕洛米诺
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米诺
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与格罗佐
否
藤森与涅托
否
其他
是
其他 100.0%
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌 <1%
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与涅托 <1%
洛佩斯·查乌 & 藤森 <1%
$1,181,384 交易量
$1,181,384 交易量
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与洛佩斯·查乌
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与涅托
否
洛佩斯·查乌 & 藤森
否
洛佩斯·查乌与涅托
否
洛佩斯·查乌与桑切斯·帕洛米诺
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 藤森
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米诺
否
洛佩斯·阿利亚加与格罗佐
否
藤森与涅托
否
其他
是
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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