United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 61%
新人民党（NL） 30.6%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,257,260 交易量
$8,257,260 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
61%
新人民党（NL）
31%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
3%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 61%
新人民党（NL） 30.6%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,257,260 交易量
$8,257,260 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$2,154,265 交易量
61%
新人民党（NL）
$1,067,164 交易量
31%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,276,751 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$658,279 交易量
3%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$574,590 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$943,320 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$583,224 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$8,257,260结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$8,257,260结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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