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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

icon for Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$367,883 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$367,883 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$367,883
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$367,883
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?"已产生 $367.9K 的总交易量(自Sep 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

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