Fundamental constitutional and legal barriers drive trader consensus against Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state, as admission requires congressional approval, a formal application from the territory itself, and alignment with U.S. sovereignty rules that do not extend to independent nations. Recent comments from President Trump in March and May 2026 floated the idea amid U.S. actions in Venezuela, yet Caracas officials immediately rejected any such path, citing territorial integrity and ongoing diplomatic tensions. No legislation, bilateral negotiations, or domestic political momentum supports statehood. While late developments such as sustained U.S. military involvement, Venezuelan leadership shifts, or congressional proposals could theoretically reopen discussion, these remain distant given entrenched international norms and domestic U.S. priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$392,574 交易量
$392,574 交易量
2026-12-30
是
2% 概率
$392,574 交易量
$392,574 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Fundamental constitutional and legal barriers drive trader consensus against Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state, as admission requires congressional approval, a formal application from the territory itself, and alignment with U.S. sovereignty rules that do not extend to independent nations. Recent comments from President Trump in March and May 2026 floated the idea amid U.S. actions in Venezuela, yet Caracas officials immediately rejected any such path, citing territorial integrity and ongoing diplomatic tensions. No legislation, bilateral negotiations, or domestic political momentum supports statehood. While late developments such as sustained U.S. military involvement, Venezuelan leadership shifts, or congressional proposals could theoretically reopen discussion, these remain distant given entrenched international norms and domestic U.S. priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$392,574结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Fundamental constitutional and legal barriers drive trader consensus against Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state, as admission requires congressional approval, a formal application from the territory itself, and alignment with U.S. sovereignty rules that do not extend to independent nations. Recent comments from President Trump in March and May 2026 floated the idea amid U.S. actions in Venezuela, yet Caracas officials immediately rejected any such path, citing territorial integrity and ongoing diplomatic tensions. No legislation, bilateral negotiations, or domestic political momentum supports statehood. While late developments such as sustained U.S. military involvement, Venezuelan leadership shifts, or congressional proposals could theoretically reopen discussion, these remain distant given entrenched international norms and domestic U.S. priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$392,574结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fundamental constitutional and legal barriers drive trader consensus against Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state, as admission requires congressional approval, a formal application from the territory itself, and alignment with U.S. sovereignty rules that do not extend to independent nations. Recent comments from President Trump in March and May 2026 floated the idea amid U.S. actions in Venezuela, yet Caracas officials immediately rejected any such path, citing territorial integrity and ongoing diplomatic tensions. No legislation, bilateral negotiations, or domestic political momentum supports statehood. While late developments such as sustained U.S. military involvement, Venezuelan leadership shifts, or congressional proposals could theoretically reopen discussion, these remain distant given entrenched international norms and domestic U.S. priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题